Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.031852 0.034951 0.038099 0.041529 0.045154 0.048867 0.052949
2025-08-24 0.026394 0.030863 0.035582 0.040913 0.046740 0.052892 0.059854
2025-08-31 0.023446 0.028990 0.035046 0.042091 0.050002 0.058557 0.068452
2025-09-07 0.020935 0.027266 0.034395 0.042911 0.052699 0.063497 0.076211
2025-09-14 0.018737 0.025639 0.033637 0.043420 0.054898 0.067783 0.083187
2025-09-21 0.016721 0.024010 0.032693 0.043554 0.056537 0.071340 0.089279
2025-09-28 0.015571 0.023315 0.032761 0.044797 0.059408 0.076279 0.096942
2025-10-05 0.013726 0.021574 0.031404 0.044193 0.059981 0.078457 0.101344
2025-10-12 0.012413 0.020405 0.030664 0.044259 0.061289 0.081453 0.106672
2025-10-19 0.011470 0.019648 0.030381 0.044838 0.063181 0.085118 0.112780
2025-10-26 0.010776 0.019173 0.030418 0.045786 0.065505 0.089293 0.119503
2025-11-02 0.009199 0.017312 0.028498 0.044107 0.064452 0.089292 0.121143
2025-11-09 0.008171 0.016189 0.027540 0.043670 0.064982 0.091270 0.125255
2025-11-16 0.007236 0.015127 0.026603 0.043210 0.065448 0.093152 0.129250
2025-11-23 0.006914 0.015000 0.026976 0.044519 0.068218 0.097933 0.136848
2025-11-30 0.006502 0.014689 0.027059 0.045414 0.070440 0.102031 0.143622
2025-12-07 0.006032 0.014241 0.026910 0.045964 0.072194 0.105536 0.149668
2025-12-14 0.005503 0.013642 0.026496 0.046113 0.073393 0.108325 0.154821
2025-12-21 0.005291 0.013582 0.026891 0.047409 0.076139 0.113111 0.162508
2025-12-28 0.004663 0.012707 0.025979 0.046785 0.076253 0.114480 0.165869
2026-01-04 0.004239 0.012169 0.025562 0.046854 0.077294 0.117043 0.170744
2026-01-11 0.003958 0.011877 0.025518 0.047456 0.079061 0.120552 0.176830
2026-01-18 0.003769 0.011751 0.025734 0.048440 0.081359 0.124767 0.183838